Potential purchase

General E30 related discussions -
Please put technical questions in E30 Tech Help forum below

Moderator: martauto

User avatar
ThrustingBeast
E30 Zone Newbie
E30 Zone Newbie
Posts: 0
Joined: Wed Oct 07, 2015 11:00 pm
Location: Scotland

Fri Oct 09, 2015 4:44 pm

550 Marenello Manual or 575M Manual
RHD
Red
££££££££££££££££££££££
Jon_Bmw
Dangerous when thinking
Dangerous when thinking
Posts: 7606
Joined: Tue Jan 11, 2005 11:00 pm
Location: Salisbury

Fri Oct 09, 2015 5:37 pm

Z3Ms have nearly doubled in the last 3 years I would say.

3 years ago you could have got an 80k mile S54 for £15k and a 30k mile car for £25k. Now the same cars are £27k and £40k respectively.

Boat missed I think. I hope I am wrong though and they continue to rise. :)


I think the Clio V6 did the same thing around the same time. Both 2000ish vintage cars. So is the next one something iconic made in around 2005?

The last of the line 996 turbo made would be where my money would go.
User avatar
ThrustingBeast
E30 Zone Newbie
E30 Zone Newbie
Posts: 0
Joined: Wed Oct 07, 2015 11:00 pm
Location: Scotland

Fri Oct 09, 2015 6:17 pm

I know what my money is on ....
Gert_8
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 11304
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 11:00 pm
Location: In your back passage faster than a rat up a drainpipe!

Fri Oct 09, 2015 8:15 pm

ThrustingBeast wrote:I know what my money is on ....
What?
Image
PONY, 2013 - "Anyway span 360 degrees hitting the kerb and giving the old man two fingers as I was spinning like Michael Schumacher would
Cloggy Saint
Old Skooler
Old Skooler
Posts: 8024
Joined: Sun Jan 09, 2005 11:00 pm
Location: zummerzet

Fri Oct 09, 2015 8:16 pm

E46 M3 by any chance?
Image

E30 zone - promoting adult illiteracy since 2004
bab-91
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7177
Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 11:00 pm
Location: Northern Ireland

Fri Oct 09, 2015 8:16 pm

Gert_8 wrote:
ThrustingBeast wrote:I know what my money is on ....
What?

e46 CSL
The Internet - It has proven to be worthless, and is nothing but a repository for perverts.

IG - bab91
Gert_8
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 11304
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 11:00 pm
Location: In your back passage faster than a rat up a drainpipe!

Fri Oct 09, 2015 8:17 pm

Lol!! :D

Location - Scotland. :D
Image
PONY, 2013 - "Anyway span 360 degrees hitting the kerb and giving the old man two fingers as I was spinning like Michael Schumacher would
senna
E30 Zone Regular
E30 Zone Regular
Posts: 612
Joined: Thu Jun 21, 2007 11:00 pm

Fri Oct 09, 2015 8:26 pm

E36/46 M3 GT/CS/CSL
User avatar
ThrustingBeast
E30 Zone Newbie
E30 Zone Newbie
Posts: 0
Joined: Wed Oct 07, 2015 11:00 pm
Location: Scotland

Fri Oct 09, 2015 9:17 pm

Gert_8 wrote:
ThrustingBeast wrote:I know what my money is on ....
What?
Aston Martin V8 Vantage

What's yours on ?
Gert_8
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 11304
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 11:00 pm
Location: In your back passage faster than a rat up a drainpipe!

Fri Oct 09, 2015 9:18 pm

ThrustingBeast wrote:
Gert_8 wrote:
ThrustingBeast wrote:I know what my money is on ....
What?
Aston Martin V8 Vantage

What's yours on ?
I wouldn't invest in cars, Pone.
Image
PONY, 2013 - "Anyway span 360 degrees hitting the kerb and giving the old man two fingers as I was spinning like Michael Schumacher would
bab-91
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7177
Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 11:00 pm
Location: Northern Ireland

Fri Oct 09, 2015 9:22 pm

Gert_8 wrote:
ThrustingBeast wrote:
Gert_8 wrote: What?
Aston Martin V8 Vantage

What's yours on ?
I wouldn't invest in cars, Pone.

That's mainly because you're the original MisterShortArmsLongPockets :)
The Internet - It has proven to be worthless, and is nothing but a repository for perverts.

IG - bab91
elf
E30 Zone Regular
E30 Zone Regular
Posts: 502
Joined: Mon Feb 27, 2006 11:00 pm
Location: braintree

Sat Oct 10, 2015 7:53 am

You guys crack me up..I don't care if prices go up or down..come retirement age if I decide to sell which I probably won't .I am buying like most here I hope .for the sheer pleasure it will give me and too meet up with some of you nuttters at shows hopefully..
Andyboy
Alpina Colada
Posts: 12574
Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:00 pm

Sat Oct 10, 2015 3:13 pm

The situation now is not like it was in 1990. Then, there was no money about. Today, there is loads of money but folk are hanging onto it albeit less and less as the economy strengthens.

The market will not crash again - things are different now. Classic cars are not being bought purely as investments as they were 25 years ago. This time they are being driven and enjoyed, bought by wealthy enthusiasts. The problem classic car dealers have is finding stock - there's just not much about being sold and what does come to the market that's of saleable quality is coming from private owners (not just auctions - that appears to be where a lot of junk is offloaded) at high prices.

Lots of cars have stalled in value now. E30 M3's probably won't go much (if any) higher and likewise E9 CSL's etc. Basically, everything has found its mark now.

Another deciding factor is that 25 years ago, you could still buy a really nice interesting car. Today, there isn't really much about that's worth losing sleep over and so nice old cars have more of a following than ever.
ross_jsy
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7307
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: Jersey, C.I.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 3:21 pm

Andyboy wrote:The market will not crash again - things are different now. Classic cars are not being bought purely as investments as they were 25 years ago.
It's a market, it will crash again. Basic economic concepts state every market will have a rise and a fall, there is no such thing as stagnation (long term anyway).

Historically low interest rates mean people are putting money into asset classes getting better returns than savings accounts (the whole reason the BOE are keeping interest rates low). A popular one right now is classic cars as it's a physical asset people can touch, use and enjoy. When inflation picks up, rates will rise and more money will be put into traditional saving methods.

To say the classic car market will not burst is naive. Too big to bust was thrown around and look what happened there.
rh306
E30 Zone Addict
E30 Zone Addict
Posts: 2499
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: London

Sat Oct 10, 2015 3:36 pm

ross_jsy wrote:
Andyboy wrote:The market will not crash again - things are different now. Classic cars are not being bought purely as investments as they were 25 years ago.
It's a market, it will crash again. Basic economic concepts state every market will have a rise and a fall, there is no such thing as stagnation (long term anyway).
..try telling Japan that :D I don't subscribe to the myth of perpetual growth which keeps the investment management industry going. Where's the FTSE now? Way below where it was in 1999.... The people who have done well in the last few years will continue to have money going forwards, I don't think they'll be divesting of their toys any time soon..
Last edited by rh306 on Sat Oct 10, 2015 3:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Andyboy
Alpina Colada
Posts: 12574
Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:00 pm

Sat Oct 10, 2015 3:46 pm

ross_jsy wrote:
Andyboy wrote:The market will not crash again - things are different now. Classic cars are not being bought purely as investments as they were 25 years ago.
It's a market, it will crash again. Basic economic concepts state every market will have a rise and a fall, there is no such thing as stagnation (long term anyway).

Historically low interest rates mean people are putting money into asset classes getting better returns than savings accounts (the whole reason the BOE are keeping interest rates low). A popular one right now is classic cars as it's a physical asset people can touch, use and enjoy. When inflation picks up, rates will rise and more money will be put into traditional saving methods.

To say the classic car market will not burst is naive. Too big to bust was thrown around and look what happened there.
You haven't absorbed what I've said. Classic cars are now being bought by people who have the money to indulge. Last time around, folk were borrowing heavily to invest. Understand the difference?
rh306
E30 Zone Addict
E30 Zone Addict
Posts: 2499
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: London

Sat Oct 10, 2015 4:06 pm

..a good example of the last boom, was my mate who has no interest in cars and no knowledge of them either. He took up an option on an XJ220 :D (He managed to offload it before the time came to cough up the full balance). 8O
Gert_8
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 11304
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 11:00 pm
Location: In your back passage faster than a rat up a drainpipe!

Sat Oct 10, 2015 4:06 pm

ross_jsy wrote:
Andyboy wrote:The market will not crash again - things are different now. Classic cars are not being bought purely as investments as they were 25 years ago.
It's a market, it will crash again. Basic economic concepts state every market will have a rise and a fall, there is no such thing as stagnation (long term anyway).

Historically low interest rates mean people are putting money into asset classes getting better returns than savings accounts (the whole reason the BOE are keeping interest rates low). A popular one right now is classic cars as it's a physical asset people can touch, use and enjoy. When inflation picks up, rates will rise and more money will be put into traditional saving methods.

To say the classic car market will not burst is naive. Too big to bust was thrown around and look what happened there.
+1. Boom and bust. It's cyclical and a fact of an open/free economy and a democratic society.
Image
PONY, 2013 - "Anyway span 360 degrees hitting the kerb and giving the old man two fingers as I was spinning like Michael Schumacher would
Andyboy
Alpina Colada
Posts: 12574
Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:00 pm

Sat Oct 10, 2015 4:30 pm

Gert_8 wrote:
ross_jsy wrote:
Andyboy wrote:The market will not crash again - things are different now. Classic cars are not being bought purely as investments as they were 25 years ago.
It's a market, it will crash again. Basic economic concepts state every market will have a rise and a fall, there is no such thing as stagnation (long term anyway).

Historically low interest rates mean people are putting money into asset classes getting better returns than savings accounts (the whole reason the BOE are keeping interest rates low). A popular one right now is classic cars as it's a physical asset people can touch, use and enjoy. When inflation picks up, rates will rise and more money will be put into traditional saving methods.

To say the classic car market will not burst is naive. Too big to bust was thrown around and look what happened there.
+1. Boom and bust. It's cyclical and a fact of an open/free economy and a democratic society.
So can I ask either of you two financial svengalis to tell us all when it will crash again? An approximate prediction will be fine.
Gert_8
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 11304
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 11:00 pm
Location: In your back passage faster than a rat up a drainpipe!

Sat Oct 10, 2015 4:47 pm

Andyboy wrote:
Gert_8 wrote:
ross_jsy wrote: It's a market, it will crash again. Basic economic concepts state every market will have a rise and a fall, there is no such thing as stagnation (long term anyway).

Historically low interest rates mean people are putting money into asset classes getting better returns than savings accounts (the whole reason the BOE are keeping interest rates low). A popular one right now is classic cars as it's a physical asset people can touch, use and enjoy. When inflation picks up, rates will rise and more money will be put into traditional saving methods.

To say the classic car market will not burst is naive. Too big to bust was thrown around and look what happened there.
+1. Boom and bust. It's cyclical and a fact of an open/free economy and a democratic society.
So can I ask either of you two financial svengalis to tell us all when it will crash again? An approximate prediction will be fine.
If I knew that I wouldn't be wasting My time on here, and my garage would be full of exotic tin (mainly Italian!).

I'll put my cock on the block and say it's difficult to predict. If it were predictable, then it would be avoidable. In our lifetime we have witnessed two? Tell you what, you tell us when the next earthquake will hit the west coast of 'merica, and I'll tell you when the economy will shit itself again. :)
Image
PONY, 2013 - "Anyway span 360 degrees hitting the kerb and giving the old man two fingers as I was spinning like Michael Schumacher would
bab-91
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7177
Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 11:00 pm
Location: Northern Ireland

Sat Oct 10, 2015 5:02 pm

1st year in college and Ross is educating the Zone on basic economic principles. :) :evil:
The Internet - It has proven to be worthless, and is nothing but a repository for perverts.

IG - bab91
ross_jsy
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7307
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: Jersey, C.I.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 5:09 pm

Using the FTSE as an example at the height of the dotcom bubble is a bold move captain
ross_jsy
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7307
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: Jersey, C.I.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 5:10 pm

F00k off Bab's, I'm in my final year :D
bab-91
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7177
Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 11:00 pm
Location: Northern Ireland

Sat Oct 10, 2015 5:13 pm

ross_jsy wrote:F00k off Bab's, I'm in my final year :D
:lol:

Really? Jesus! Time flys!
The Internet - It has proven to be worthless, and is nothing but a repository for perverts.

IG - bab91
ross_jsy
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7307
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: Jersey, C.I.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 5:15 pm

Sorry, just seen the third page.

Well the normal model is a 7 year boom-bust cycle. However the markets are very artificial right now due to the aforementioned historically low interest rates and quantitive easing doing their best to kickstart the economy.

Yes, previously people were using debt to buy things more than today. Do you really think people have learned their lesson and we will never go back to those times? Good luck! And you are assuming those who have purchased assets outright will not fall on hard times/need to liquidate their assets for further investment/use that capital to fund further debt backed purchases.
Gert_8
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 11304
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 11:00 pm
Location: In your back passage faster than a rat up a drainpipe!

Sat Oct 10, 2015 5:46 pm

I'm looking forward to buying an M3 when the prices are on the way down. Try me first, sellers. :)
Image
PONY, 2013 - "Anyway span 360 degrees hitting the kerb and giving the old man two fingers as I was spinning like Michael Schumacher would
Z3I
E30 Zone Addict
E30 Zone Addict
Posts: 3504
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2006 11:00 pm
Location: By Brooklands, in the sunny south.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 6:47 pm

Gert_8 wrote:I'm looking forward to buying an M3 when the prices are on the way down. Try me first, sellers. :)
As soon as interest rates and shares are up, the investers will be selling M3's, just wait a few months when they reach genuine enthusiasts pockets and buy in!
Selection of BMW hardtops available, please ask!
Andyboy
Alpina Colada
Posts: 12574
Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:00 pm

Sat Oct 10, 2015 6:48 pm

ross_jsy wrote:Sorry, just seen the third page.

Well the normal model is a 7 year boom-bust cycle. However the markets are very artificial right now due to the aforementioned historically low interest rates and quantitive easing doing their best to kickstart the economy.

Yes, previously people were using debt to buy things more than today. Do you really think people have learned their lesson and we will never go back to those times? Good luck! And you are assuming those who have purchased assets outright will not fall on hard times/need to liquidate their assets for further investment/use that capital to fund further debt backed purchases.
You are still failing to understand the whole thing with the current classic car market. Of course, some are still buying stuff because the return may be better than money in the bank.
In the late 80's, speculators were buying stuff up to sell on again at a profit. Banks were lending money to do so. However, the market became overheated with tonced up old shit, there were too many cars and it all fell on its arse at the same time as the global economy melted down and banks needed to foreclose on big loans on old cars.

In 2015, rich collectors are now buying cars with their own money. The guy who spent £500'000 of his own cash on a DB5 probably doesn't give a shit about the economy. He didn't buy the DB5 to sell on again, he just wants one. Because so few top quality cars are being sold on again (you try finding a perfect, factory spec Escort RS1600) there is a lack of really good quality classic cars and this, along with the fact that the market is being driven by folk with a lot of disposable income, means the prices of classic cars is not dropping anytime soon. I trust you can understand this.

How would the a financial crisis affect the value of a Monet or a Supermarine Spitfire? A clue: it won't, in the slightest!
ross_jsy
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7307
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: Jersey, C.I.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 6:57 pm

https://confluence.cornell.edu/display/ ... al+Economy

"Far removed from the traditional narrative of a vibrant and sustained bull market in the last decade, the art market experienced a substantial crash in 2008, perhaps related to the concurrent worldwide financial crisis. Prices of contemporary, modern, and impressionist artwork decreased about 30%, and Sotheby's and Christie's saw their share prices plunge in reaction to the decrease in global consumer confidence."

"In theory, the wealthiest consumer constitute the bulk of the visible art market, and a large proportion of the value of artistic pieces are subjective and based on perceptions of wealth and status. More than anything, however, is that art is purchased with disposable income..."

Art market crash of 2008, correlating with the financial meltdown.
Gert_8
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 11304
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 11:00 pm
Location: In your back passage faster than a rat up a drainpipe!

Sat Oct 10, 2015 7:06 pm

Gert_8 wrote:I recall Elton John "investing" in a Jaguar XJ220 - paid something like £500k for it at the time..... :)
I don't believe Elton borrowed money when he did this either.
Image
PONY, 2013 - "Anyway span 360 degrees hitting the kerb and giving the old man two fingers as I was spinning like Michael Schumacher would
rh306
E30 Zone Addict
E30 Zone Addict
Posts: 2499
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: London

Sat Oct 10, 2015 7:54 pm

ross_jsy wrote:https://confluence.cornell.edu/display/ ... al+Economy

"Far removed from the traditional narrative of a vibrant and sustained bull market in the last decade, the art market experienced a substantial crash in 2008, perhaps related to the concurrent worldwide financial crisis. Prices of contemporary, modern, and impressionist artwork decreased about 30%, and Sotheby's and Christie's saw their share prices plunge in reaction to the decrease in global consumer confidence."

"In theory, the wealthiest consumer constitute the bulk of the visible art market, and a large proportion of the value of artistic pieces are subjective and based on perceptions of wealth and status. More than anything, however, is that art is purchased with disposable income..."

Art market crash of 2008, correlating with the financial meltdown.
Since the financial crisis, I get the impression that alternative investments like cars/ art etc have become a lot more mainstream. I don't see people piling back into conventional financial products when we turn this mythical 'corner'.. Even talking to people in the city (lawyers at Clifford Chance, private bankers at Credit Suisse), they're putting money into London property rather than buying bonds, equities etc.
Andyboy
Alpina Colada
Posts: 12574
Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:00 pm

Sat Oct 10, 2015 8:08 pm

ross_jsy wrote:https://confluence.cornell.edu/display/ ... al+Economy

"Far removed from the traditional narrative of a vibrant and sustained bull market in the last decade, the art market experienced a substantial crash in 2008, perhaps related to the concurrent worldwide financial crisis. Prices of contemporary, modern, and impressionist artwork decreased about 30%, and Sotheby's and Christie's saw their share prices plunge in reaction to the decrease in global consumer confidence."

"In theory, the wealthiest consumer constitute the bulk of the visible art market, and a large proportion of the value of artistic pieces are subjective and based on perceptions of wealth and status. More than anything, however, is that art is purchased with disposable income..."

Art market crash of 2008, correlating with the financial meltdown.
Blimey, and there was me thinking you'd had an original idea of your own! :D

Look! I can grab a quote from the internet as well!

http://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign ... -blue-chip winkeye
ross_jsy
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7307
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: Jersey, C.I.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 8:17 pm

Blimey, I thought you could read dates.

Article posted 30 January 2015. You said "How would the a financial crisis affect the value of a Monet". News to me that we are in a financial crisis right now.

Keep writing about cars Andy, it's clearly all you know about.
Rav335uk
E30 Zone Meets/Events Team
E30 Zone Meets/Events Team
Posts: 27985
Joined: Wed Jan 19, 2005 11:00 pm
Location: Mad mad mad
Contact:

Sat Oct 10, 2015 8:20 pm

WOW, what a read,
Andy, you need to explain what you mean to these inbred fookers in nursery speak :mad:
Image
If you Got "Haters",Then your doing something Right!
CR24v??? Where's it all gone?? LOL
ross_jsy
Married to the E30 Zone
Married to the E30 Zone
Posts: 7307
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:00 pm
Location: Jersey, C.I.

Sat Oct 10, 2015 8:29 pm

rh306 wrote:
ross_jsy wrote:https://confluence.cornell.edu/display/ ... al+Economy

"Far removed from the traditional narrative of a vibrant and sustained bull market in the last decade, the art market experienced a substantial crash in 2008, perhaps related to the concurrent worldwide financial crisis. Prices of contemporary, modern, and impressionist artwork decreased about 30%, and Sotheby's and Christie's saw their share prices plunge in reaction to the decrease in global consumer confidence."

"In theory, the wealthiest consumer constitute the bulk of the visible art market, and a large proportion of the value of artistic pieces are subjective and based on perceptions of wealth and status. More than anything, however, is that art is purchased with disposable income..."

Art market crash of 2008, correlating with the financial meltdown.
Since the financial crisis, I get the impression that alternative investments like cars/ art etc have become a lot more mainstream. I don't see people piling back into conventional financial products when we turn this mythical 'corner'.. Even talking to people in the city (lawyers at Clifford Chance, private bankers at Credit Suisse), they're putting money into London property rather than buying bonds, equities etc.
London property is the golden ticket right now, anyone with money is piling in. That bubble will burst. Sadly 90% of the funds under administration at the company I work for are in London real estate so I hope it doesn't happen any time soon.

Traditionally, in times of poor finances people invest more in alternative investments. As returns on traditional financial products improve, investors will switch back.

That is historic of course, but no reason it won't be the same. While it's nice to have a physical asset you can touch, look at and drive, money talks.
Post Reply